Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c47fb6d97cffec16499c07fee524838ebf259aabcd0a21839497dddf47b8cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 30c | 4,829$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.66 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 3,923$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.08 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 68c | 3,353$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.94 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 1c | 1,694$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 68c | 1,621$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.08 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 62c | 1,528$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.79 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 63c | 1,498$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 22c | 1,141$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.84 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 79c | 1,105$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.83 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 873$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.28 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 23c | 858.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 709.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.4 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 79c | 700$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 21c | 599.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 77c | 520$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 513$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 80c | 435.84$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 24c | 435$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…e6b2backed Yes | 25c | 427.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 380$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…68f5backed Yes | 71c | 378.05$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 22c | 360$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 79c | 324.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 296.01$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965e…0062backed Yes | 69c | 287.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 283.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.14 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 76c | 274.25$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 19c | 249.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 66c | 231.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 22c | 215.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 30c | 162$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 22c | 161.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 161.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Yes | 21c | 143.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…a3d0backed No | 80c | 130.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 24c | 127.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 22c | 115.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 108.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Yes | 20c | 100.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 34c | 98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 79c | 96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…5c1bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…ad9fbacked Yes | 26c | 80.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 76c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 20c | 52.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes | 21c | 51.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…eb45backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…9940backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 36cpaid | +387.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 44.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…3f53backed Yes | 66c | 38.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…3825backed No | 75c | 29.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…5c99backed No | 75c | 27.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…5de1backed Yes | 78c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c7f3backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 74c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.