NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8706a81a75ac7e17eb6009a72237491441fcd10a048757e27f7a6177e1d7e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Warriors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 0c | 49,833$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Kings | 47c | 37,709$17,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,845.49 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 56c | 26,220$14,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500.05 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Warriors | 37c | 24,009$8,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949.96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 59c | 22,966$13,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,527.89 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 50c | 19,346$9,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,605.69 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Warriors | 43c | 18,649$7,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,947.3 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Kings | 78c | 15,322$11,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 47c | 13,420$6,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,272.31 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Kings | 75c | 12,396$9,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.94 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 40c | 11,355$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Warriors | 71c | 9,071$6,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.33 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Kings | 68c | 7,819$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.76 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 28c | 6,536$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.81 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Warriors | 29c | 6,267$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.36 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 29c | 5,050$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,949$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.77 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 31c | 3,681$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.17 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Warriors | 27c | 3,552$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.45 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…b538backed Kings | 45c | 3,500$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Warriors | 18c | 3,466$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.8 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 44c | 3,398$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,345$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.29 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings | 52c | 3,300$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.81 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Kings | 63c | 3,290$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.36 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 28c | 3,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Kings | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Warriors | 49c | 2,950$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.57 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Kings | 66c | 2,860$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.62 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Warriors | 27c | 2,714$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.78 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Kings | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kings | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Warriors | 41c | 2,362$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.95 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 55c | 2,306$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.76 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 53c | 2,137$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.52 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 16c | 2,100$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.99 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Warriors | 48c | 2,000$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.82 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 71c | 1,828$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.13 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Warriors | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…3694backed Warriors | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Kings | 74c | 1,709$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.74 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ad05backed Kings | 71c | 1,700$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Warriors | 56c | 1,672$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 1c | 1,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 71c | 1,469$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.01 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Kings | 71c | 1,450$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…b156backed Warriors | 24c | 1,438$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 28c | 1,400$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Kings | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.87 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Warriors | 76c | 1,271$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.67 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Warriors | 21c | 1,200$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 61c | 1,180$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Warriors | 74c | 1,156$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.09 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Warriors | 28c | 1,134$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Warriors | 39c | 1,108$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.48 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 45c | 1,080$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.14 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Kings | 60c | 1,069$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.64 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 50c | 1,020$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.85 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Warriors | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Kings | 46c | 987.6$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.4 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Kings | 43c | 947.21$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.93 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Kings | 55c | 935.39$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.78 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 28c | 900$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…7af0backed Warriors | 73c | 874.01$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings | 36c | 836.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.41 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 53c | 819.53$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe740…1ae1backed Kings | 71c | 818.47$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Kings | 59c | 810.02$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.53 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Warriors | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Warriors | 67c | 775.84$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.99 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Kings | 28c | 700$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…f28fbacked Kings | 35c | 695.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Warriors | 27c | 689.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 72c | 688.89$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Kings | 73c | 684.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…06bdbacked Warriors | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Warriors | 28c | 658$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Warriors | 26c | 652$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Kings | 29c | 633.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Kings | 73c | 631.11$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Warriors | 73c | 610.34$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.55 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Kings | 56c | 600$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 25c | 579$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Warriors | 75c | 544.26$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.74 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Kings | 63c | 541.84$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.48 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…781abacked Warriors | 59c | 538.22$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Warriors | 38c | 536.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28b…183ebacked Warriors | 28c | 531.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Kings | 72c | 509.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Warriors | 3c | 505$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 27c | 500.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Kings | 38c | 500$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Kings | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Warriors | 63c | 488.3$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Kings | 40c | 483.44$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.02 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.