Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Miguel Tobon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1134c2203c5933df3a73b0a3de690ae4041803b972f31ac14a8b66cfe43c591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miguel Tobonof Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, Miguel Tobon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 39c | 9,100$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.41 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Tobon | 66c | 4,898$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.97 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miguel Tobon | 57c | 2,194$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.07 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Tobon | 62c | 1,944$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.33 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 31c | 1,510$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.64 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Tobon | 63c | 1,333$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.7 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miguel Tobon | 56c | 942.58$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.13 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Miguel Tobon | 62c | 376.07$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 33c | 345.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 47c | 271.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Miguel Tobon | 80c | 236.85$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Miguel Tobon | 79c | 219.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Miguel Tobon | 77c | 192.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Miguel Tobon | 67c | 178.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miguel Tobon | 72c | 155.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 46c | 155.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 47c | 151.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 47c | 150.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 36c | 147.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 47c | 144.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Miguel Tobon | 80c | 138.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…93cdbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 12c | 122.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 25c | 109.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Miguel Tobon | 64c | 105.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 19c | 97.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 19c | 81.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 47c | 77.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 244 | 60.7%148 W · 96 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 45c | 77.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 28c | 50.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked Miguel Tobon | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 46c | 42.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Miguel Tobon | 56c | 41.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Miguel Tobon | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 74c | 31.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Miguel Tobon | 67c | 30.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 47c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 76c | 22.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Miguel Tobon | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 76c | 17.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.