NFL · resolved market
Will Isiah Pacheco score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07371e6631d29195fd33f1e8b3997de2f2270f62e6da5487f5c4aa2a1d0397f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 80c | 6,020$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 20c | 5,250$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 79c | 2,081$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.12 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,062$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 21c | 1,020$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…9c05backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +104%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 787.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Yes | 22c | 686.79$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 22c | 600$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 78c | 341.05$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Yes | 22c | 222.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…52b2backed Yes | 22c | 105.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…f880backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…aa00backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 22c | 81.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked No | 77c | 65.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…c09abacked Yes | 27c | 37.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed No | 73c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Isiah Pacheco score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will A.J. Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Dallas Goedert score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will DeAndre Hopkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will DeVonta Smith score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will E.J. Jenkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Grant Calcaterra score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Johnny Wilson score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will JuJu Smith-Schuster score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Justin Watson score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will KC Chiefs D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kareem Hunt score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kenneth Gainwell score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Marquise Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Noah Gray score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will PHI Eagles D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Patrick Mahomes score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Travis Kelce score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Xavier Worthy score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.