TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked No48c21,953$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,439.6844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes52c20,314$10,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,755.637041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Yes62c13,023$8,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.274755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No48c11,775$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.0210143.6%44 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No45c10,976$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No45c8,272$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.624047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2507051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+630%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No46c1,866$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.183745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5a…995fbacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c1f…f2fcbacked Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c1,816$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.1883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No45c1,500$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68024738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes55c1,356$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.5622142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes79c1,166$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc54…aad2backed Yes54c1,085$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…7dafbacked No46c1,085$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No47c1,025$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.999645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed No46c999.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9817823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ea…7c79backed Yes54c972.31$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1f…e62bbacked Yes54c923.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-73.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Yes55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…78bdbacked Yes55c709.36$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8b82backed Yes55c640.01$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.011060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Yes55c627.27$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.275766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked No46c572.31$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203f…8e77backed Yes55c545$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-46.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No49c502.87$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.752857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23516226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+81.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08f…2ad4backed No10c478.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.83119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Yes54c459.26$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.266947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…c960backed Yes55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe52b…ba76backed Yes55c445.45$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba3…83debacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e3…ad70backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642850%14 W · 14 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+98.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes54c300$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13737556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed No47c281.27$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.34940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes53c250.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1815332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.526830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.54434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Yes55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54245.2%19 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes53c250$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.54334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.223737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x323e…63d5backed Yes55c220.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.134757.4%27 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+50.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes55c203.74$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.12955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9215145.7%69 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes54c185.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…168abacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c5…ac49backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No18c184.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.91969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes55c183.42$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.542759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f79…6668backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe739…0484backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642015%3 W · 17 L-6.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-71.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf6df…ae66backed Yes55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.271030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1841…c63dbacked Yes55c120.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.413743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x144e…8776backed Yes55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeef…e421backed Yes72c104.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454372.1%31 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7525453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3bd1backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7039…e968backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.599856.1%55 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5d…5598backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b29…a45fbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes53c82.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.610937.6%41 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c8…ae54backed Yes55c70.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4f…ceaabacked Yes55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed No50c68.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3119844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.28234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd1…f095backed Yes51c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Yes55c54.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c33…c968backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7021backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No46c43.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201508%12 W · 138 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9235…b494backed Yes54c42.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27939.2%31 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da3…9b15backed No47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…a72ebacked Yes54c38.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-73.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+84.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b07…5de1backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642e…314dbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…aa00backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…c629backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67df…bf85backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.