NFL · resolved market
Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8b17296fd66183bf834260b683eed5ad8b0ed65c3e3df918f1de2b8da0c26f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 48c | 21,953$10,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,439.68 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 52c | 20,314$10,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,755.63 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Yes | 62c | 13,023$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.27 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 48c | 11,775$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.02 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 45c | 10,976$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 45c | 8,272$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +630%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 46c | 1,866$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.18 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…995fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…f2fcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,816$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.18 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 55c | 1,356$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.56 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 79c | 1,166$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…aad2backed Yes | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7dafbacked No | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 47c | 1,025$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…7c79backed Yes | 54c | 972.31$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…e62bbacked Yes | 54c | 923.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…e1d3backed Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…78bdbacked Yes | 55c | 709.36$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Yes | 55c | 640.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Yes | 55c | 627.27$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked No | 46c | 572.31$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Yes | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 49c | 502.87$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed No | 10c | 478.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Yes | 54c | 459.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.26 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…c960backed Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52b…ba76backed Yes | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed No | 47c | 281.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 53c | 250.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 55c | 220.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 55c | 203.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 54c | 185.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…ac49backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 18c | 184.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 55c | 183.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…6668backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0484backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…ae66backed Yes | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…c63dbacked Yes | 55c | 120.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…8776backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…e421backed Yes | 72c | 104.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3bd1backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…e968backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5d…5598backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…a45fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 53c | 82.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…ae54backed Yes | 55c | 70.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…ceaabacked Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 50c | 68.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f095backed Yes | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Yes | 55c | 54.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…c968backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…b494backed Yes | 54c | 42.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…9b15backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…a72ebacked Yes | 54c | 38.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…5de1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…314dbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…aa00backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…c629backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…bf85backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will A.J. Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Dallas Goedert score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will DeAndre Hopkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will DeVonta Smith score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will E.J. Jenkins score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Grant Calcaterra score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Isiah Pacheco score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Johnny Wilson score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will JuJu Smith-Schuster score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Justin Watson score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will KC Chiefs D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kareem Hunt score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kenneth Gainwell score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Marquise Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Noah Gray score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will PHI Eagles D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Patrick Mahomes score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Travis Kelce score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Xavier Worthy score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.