MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193b43be77a581883dd4692aa5ed752b2116b2242ad3ff8df401657ed6a1a29d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 1,899$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.22 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,314$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.27 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed New York Yankees | 67c | 700.88$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 690$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New York Yankees | 79c | 455$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 338.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed New York Yankees | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 243$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New York Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed New York Yankees | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Yankees | 58c | 133$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed New York Yankees | 60c | 100.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed New York Yankees | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 99.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 80.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 74.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed New York Yankees | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed New York Yankees | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 31.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed New York Yankees | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed New York Yankees | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed New York Yankees | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed New York Yankees | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.