NFL · resolved market
Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377aad6bdc85fad4cf60829ab7ad53cd02c49be4c51beb1d10fc4b3ae44c889f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 4,081$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.84 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 33c | 3,938$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.58 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 68c | 2,667$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked No | 68c | 1,264$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.33 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 54c | 535.95$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 57c | 399.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 26c | 353.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 28c | 327$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…dd01backed Yes | 62c | 210.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54c…4ad6backed Yes | 76c | 200.72$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 64c | 191$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 46c | 177.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 39c | 164.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked No | 31c | 137.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…b6e8backed Yes | 29c | 125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 50c | 120.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 45c | 100.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 35c | 95.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…82d2backed No | 56c | 92.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed No | 53c | 75.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 33c | 75.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…686dbacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked No | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked No | 68c | 60.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 56.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 32c | 51.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…53cebacked Yes | 30c | 50.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…b50fbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…ec9cbacked Yes | 30c | 49.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 77c | 47.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 41.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 62c | 32.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…be6bbacked No | 47c | 28.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…7758backed No | 48c | 25.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…c4d3backed No | 48c | 24.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…4070backed No | 73c | 21.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…7a78backed Yes | 53c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…1a33backed Yes | 53c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 56c | 21.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb50d…eba6backed Yes | 53c | 21.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…99a9backed Yes | 53c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…6704backed Yes | 53c | 19.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.