MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2175a0a628582bddcb118283868c0494f7be4d9248f064193decd78327961947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Rays, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Blue Jays | 60c | 8,000$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.02 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rays | 40c | 7,906$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.36 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 40c | 2,869$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.35 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays | 59c | 2,528$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Rays | 41c | 1,965$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,752$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Rays | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 41c | 1,536$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.42 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,412$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.02 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 59c | 690$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 52c | 557.97$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 41c | 538.82$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Rays | 8c | 531.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rays | 20c | 516.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Rays | 68c | 439.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Blue Jays | 58c | 433.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 41c | 405$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb3…17cdbacked Rays | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d139backed Blue Jays | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Rays | 42c | 237.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 41c | 133.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Blue Jays | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Rays | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blue Jays | 59c | 86.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Blue Jays | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 64.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…d6f4backed Blue Jays | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…5d56backed Rays | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 58c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 41c | 50.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rays | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jays | 59c | 45.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Blue Jays | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rays | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 39.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Blue Jays | 60c | 34.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Blue Jays | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…e445backed Rays | 42c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Rays | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe5…4dafbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 29.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Blue Jays | 59c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f2…15e5backed Rays | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 58c | 22.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.