MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63f21825d21c622cea5a85f3c4fd5ff63d74780962077179f4fc141b5980b5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof San Francisco Giants, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 15,062$11,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.07 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 11,423$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.51 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 3,207$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 2,925$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.28 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 2,466$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,713$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,303$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 800$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 690$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 652.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 526.37$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 523.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked San Francisco Giants | 22c | 385.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 253.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 237.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 235.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 162.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 138.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked San Francisco Giants | 9c | 116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 64.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 43.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 42.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 36.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 30.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…ee65backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.