TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c16,917$6,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.1539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes57c12,281$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,280.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…c420backed No45c5,100$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No42c4,148$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.9740222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No42c3,846$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.4336851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed No15c3,175$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.95731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes56c2,705$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.191546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No30c2,545$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.575853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No31c1,957$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.1730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Yes56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28513232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7322…bb35backed No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed No25c1,320$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes57c1,086$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.883545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No43c999.85$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9412359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No44c929.25$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.873839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes61c822.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.924544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes57c803.51$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.511090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes57c700.11$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No29c623.66$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.529350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No44c612.83$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes58c600$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25010743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed No44c460.05$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes57c454.03$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1488040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes77c391.78$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.794639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c6…51b1backed Yes56c342.73$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…a6bebacked No44c341.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No40c324.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.985754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6db…7587backed Yes56c300.96$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2269…1a89backed Yes57c292.21$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x291f…dc62backed No43c275.56$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf489…d482backed No44c258.93$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed Yes57c257.37$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Yes57c256.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No41c255.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Yes59c250$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes57c232.93$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.161643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf8…86fcbacked Yes57c232.07$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes71c222.09$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9924963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed No44c203.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.61540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes58c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.53525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes64c186.66$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe4…c6a2backed Yes57c180.4$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d1…05a0backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4418650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4416447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0310…ae42backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed No43c174.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked No44c169.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.63742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes61c165.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.155149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No14c163.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.856527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes63c158.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4224455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2563…b813backed No44c157.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977f…b0bdbacked No44c154.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083d…18b0backed No41c142.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d2f…64e9backed Yes56c136.75$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed No45c134.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3440%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Yes57c130.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes59c130.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9489…0c10backed Yes57c126.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850f…0e16backed No40c124.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.24223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be5…22cfbacked No43c119.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…80bbbacked Yes58c118.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…02fcbacked Yes57c112.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes58c111.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes63c111$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0711443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3e…b775backed Yes57c106.88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c103.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9446956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-69.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No39c95.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6616836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…e229backed Yes63c92.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2333…c1f2backed Yes68c90.03$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes56c89.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.622547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No38c87.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2917048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff3…8112backed Yes58c86.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6cf…bb19backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe449…57cfbacked Yes62c82.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Yes61c82.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked No44c81.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.