Champions League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ee34287e542dba0de4c3ddf617b2cd75cfdd45e6118842b24db50279e02603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb55f…6fd1backed Yes | 23c | 10,010$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…46b3backed No | 77c | 9,993$7,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 76c | 970.83$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 960.2$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.39 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed Yes | 22c | 646$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Yes | 34c | 594.12$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Yes | 23c | 438.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 77c | 384.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 28c | 332.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 77c | 208.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 208$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 199.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…0e7bbacked No | 75c | 168.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 15c | 123.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked No | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 76c | 89.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed No | 78c | 74.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 76c | 58.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…5c64backed No | 77c | 55.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 55.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…32a7backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…dd70backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e5…06a7backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cb…f2b1backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5750…22f6backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d202backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1f…cdedbacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…143ebacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…51b5backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…4ea2backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…3de9backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…4e05backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…71ffbacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…b58dbacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…9a0fbacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…d841backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccae…ede8backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…98fbbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…a039backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13c…f5fcbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…f228backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8e88backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe5…c38bbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…41ebbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fef…937ebacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…d09cbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…ed7fbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…5b87backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.