Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5ef584e5ffe5343daef728201d97f6230814adf5f205d6ea50b7daa8cc5177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 18c | 7,964$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.37 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 18c | 5,746$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 5,050$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 78c | 4,326$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 80c | 3,256$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.57 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed Yes | 18c | 1,470$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes | 19c | 1,275$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 18c | 949.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 867.43$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…26a3backed Yes | 20c | 500.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 406$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 310.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 18c | 238.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 189.73$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 26c | 118.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…bcf4backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked No | 80c | 18.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-12?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.