MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027db64111777b2a56dc010bd1c3e666605a99c5d73485ae230b57b8edbd1bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Yankees | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 43c | 8,117$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 59c | 4,032$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.03 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 40c | 2,458$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.91 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 44c | 1,862$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Yankees | 57c | 1,766$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.63 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 42c | 1,652$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 43c | 937.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yankees | 58c | 861.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.57 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yankees | 65c | 759.74$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 69c | 729.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 43c | 725.01$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 37c | 489.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 45c | 418.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Yankees | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yankees | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 57c | 350$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 62c | 337.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Mariners | 62c | 323.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 43c | 316.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 4c | 315$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 43c | 244.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 45c | 232.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Mariners | 43c | 179.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yankees | 47c | 166.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mariners | 44c | 147$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yankees | 43c | 146.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yankees | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…f78dbacked Mariners | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…93ffbacked Mariners | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…612fbacked Mariners | 43c | 63.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yankees | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yankees | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Mariners | 57c | 57.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 58c | 57.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners | 42c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Yankees | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…db49backed Mariners | 43c | 52.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mariners | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Yankees | 57c | 49.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked Mariners | 45c | 49.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yankees | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…d035backed Yankees | 58c | 40.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…7ae0backed Mariners | 46c | 39.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…f57abacked Mariners | 43c | 36.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Mariners | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…12c3backed Yankees | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…4132backed Yankees | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Mariners | 60c | 33.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…b62abacked Mariners | 45c | 33.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Yankees | 79c | 32.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Mariners | 43c | 32.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…88cdbacked Mariners | 45c | 32.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 41c | 29.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c80…11bbbacked Yankees | 57c | 27.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 44c | 27.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…5c60backed Mariners | 45c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…472bbacked Yankees | 59c | 26.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…88bfbacked Mariners | 45c | 26.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…84b8backed Yankees | 59c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…e52ebacked Yankees | 59c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yankees | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…981dbacked Yankees | 56c | 25.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…c863backed Mariners | 43c | 25.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…2fdbbacked Yankees | 57c | 25.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…56e3backed Mariners | 45c | 25.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…bb14backed Mariners | 43c | 24.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 53c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…0240backed Yankees | 58c | 24.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Yankees | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…7867backed Yankees | 57c | 23.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…653bbacked Yankees | 59c | 22.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…e08dbacked Yankees | 56c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…e295backed Yankees | 56c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…7637backed Yankees | 58c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Yankees | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cd…cc58backed Yankees | 56c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…8b71backed Yankees | 59c | 21.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b5…46a4backed Yankees | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.