MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44a693a8a95c671a9439e6a60959c82282d286cd985a993da3cb1bf48aeb3908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Dodgers, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 48c | 2,861$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Dodgers | 57c | 2,639$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Braves | 69c | 2,087$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.87 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 30c | 1,636$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 43c | 1,617$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.69 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 27c | 1,471$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,356$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.8 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Braves | 76c | 791.66$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 57c | 774.03$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 43c | 689.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 37c | 652.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 44c | 602.76$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 26c | 507.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Braves | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Dodgers | 25c | 400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers | 21c | 366.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 52c | 322.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Braves | 44c | 316$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Dodgers | 37c | 303.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 287.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 273.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Braves | 40c | 255.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Dodgers | 23c | 220.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Braves | 43c | 209.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Dodgers | 14c | 190$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad4fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 171.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Dodgers | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…3d1cbacked Braves | 47c | 151.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…044cbacked Dodgers | 55c | 141.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers | 55c | 134$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…086cbacked Braves | 46c | 126.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed Braves | 46c | 116.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…fb23backed Braves | 47c | 114.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Dodgers | 24c | 104.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…ced0backed Dodgers | 55c | 100.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Braves | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Dodgers | 30c | 99.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7443backed Dodgers | 55c | 92.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dodgers | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…92b8backed Dodgers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Dodgers | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 49c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Braves | 46c | 61.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 60c | 52.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Braves | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Braves | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Dodgers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Dodgers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Dodgers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Dodgers | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Braves | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.