Us Politics · resolved market
Trump declassifies Diddy list?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2936976a62c57e47815a468807d8c59e37611c655c8bdb515c56626126705c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 16c | 25,370$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 28c | 20,122$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,536.6 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 9c | 9,400$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.99 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 79c | 9,307$7,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.16 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 19c | 6,897$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 11c | 6,208$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 75c | 6,024$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.95 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 14c | 5,511$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 13c | 4,885$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.56 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 77c | 4,775$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.83 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 71c | 4,121$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 65c | 4,069$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.15 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 80c | 4,048$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 65c | 3,745$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.82 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 30c | 3,613$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 14c | 3,276$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.67 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 13c | 3,200$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 14c | 3,090$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…fce0backed No | 76c | 2,936$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 70c | 2,494$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.18 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed No | 75c | 2,421$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 12c | 2,376$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.17 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…4df2backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…4f21backed No | 80c | 1,948$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,900$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 31c | 1,900$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…109bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 10c | 1,816$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…a613backed Yes | 21c | 1,640$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…bd66backed Yes | 1c | 1,591$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 79c | 1,484$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291a…dbfdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,461$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 35c | 1,435$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 10c | 1,416$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 78c | 1,412$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 73c | 1,406$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.73 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…ed24backed Yes | 20c | 1,264$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 71c | 1,210$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.61 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907e…83c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…1b55backed Yes | 15c | 1,100$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 11c | 1,016$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 79c | 955$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…79c1backed Yes | 20c | 937.94$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…26bdbacked Yes | 10c | 937.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 69c | 928.46$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.82 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed Yes | 12c | 910$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0d98backed Yes | 18c | 900$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 71c | 896.25$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.91 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 36c | 872.73$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.09 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…02aebacked Yes | 14c | 854.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…9a2ebacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Yes | 22c | 829.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked Yes | 12c | 813$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed No | 79c | 785.71$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 15c | 770.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 11c | 755.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 71c | 733.44$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…3dd4backed Yes | 25c | 725$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked Yes | 30c | 662.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 71c | 650$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…6262backed Yes | 17c | 647.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 7c | 642$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 16c | 631.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 77c | 630.86$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 26c | 614$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…1acdbacked Yes | 16c | 607.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 27c | 591.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 16c | 584.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 30c | 551.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…334abacked Yes | 20c | 546.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…caf0backed Yes | 14c | 546.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 11c | 535.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…4ddbbacked Yes | 2c | 522.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6743backed Yes | 20c | 509.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 23c | 509.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…9c9cbacked Yes | 26c | 500.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 77c | 493.98$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked No | 78c | 462.36$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…f341backed Yes | 11c | 445.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 441.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 12c | 438.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e8…e34ebacked Yes | 10c | 420$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…2469backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…a627backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 374.37$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…df47backed Yes | 12c | 353.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…66f4backed Yes | 26c | 353.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked No | 78c | 351.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed No | 79c | 333$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 33c | 306.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…ee4bbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.