MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c20b578e19d49544dbe59613565fef6751d73c67d4a056227b87ee3a6d48d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Blue Jays | 56c | 20,062$11,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,827.73 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 44c | 9,293$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.66 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 44c | 7,420$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 11c | 6,145$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.94 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Angels | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 44c | 1,730$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.19 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,721$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.49 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Angels | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Angels | 30c | 1,380$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Angels | 46c | 1,117$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.45 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Blue Jays | 31c | 964.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.59 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Angels | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 60c | 598.29$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Angels | 4c | 569.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Angels | 36c | 548.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 8c | 504.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 31c | 483.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Angels | 10c | 472.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6faa…61cfbacked Angels | 5c | 420.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Angels | 72c | 415.42$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Angels | 11c | 400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 328.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Angels | 45c | 321.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Angels | 71c | 320$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Angels | 44c | 316$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Angels | 32c | 281.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Angels | 15c | 246.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 44c | 241.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Angels | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Angels | 46c | 221.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Angels | 46c | 213.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Angels | 31c | 201.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Angels | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Angels | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 187.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Angels | 42c | 154$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Blue Jays | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Angels | 46c | 108.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Angels | 69c | 102.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Angels | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Blue Jays | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 84.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Blue Jays | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Angels | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Angels | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Blue Jays | 53c | 77.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Blue Jays | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 65.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 47c | 59.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Angels | 71c | 55.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Angels | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Blue Jays | 27c | 47.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Blue Jays | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Angels | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 77c | 40.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Angels | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 36.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Blue Jays | 46c | 32.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Angels | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 39c | 32.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Angels | 42c | 31.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 54c | 30.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jays | 44c | 29.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…0efdbacked Angels | 65c | 23.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…3ba1backed Blue Jays | 55c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Angels | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Blue Jays | 55c | 18.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.