MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5406fd233bdd64cbc9e0d3b21f4b085863bf29423bb008030005f8e93ab0a81f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Athletics | 58c | 14,092$8,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,924.25 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 41c | 10,227$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 55c | 5,036$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.78 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Rangers | 57c | 3,279$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Rangers | 31c | 3,246$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.74 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Rangers | 56c | 2,634$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.14 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers | 36c | 2,278$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.91 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 41c | 2,153$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.47 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 61c | 2,000$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 56c | 1,563$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Athletics | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Rangers | 35c | 1,128$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 43c | 1,000$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Athletics | 57c | 882.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.46 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 39c | 843.31$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Athletics | 39c | 514.6$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.91 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked Athletics | 62c | 421$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 61c | 363.46$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers | 53c | 290.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 41c | 275.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Athletics | 63c | 273$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Athletics | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Athletics | 44c | 212.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers | 56c | 186.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers | 12c | 179.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 57c | 139$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Athletics | 61c | 136.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 29c | 128.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Athletics | 62c | 104.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Rangers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Rangers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 39c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 41c | 37.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Rangers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Athletics | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…74b9backed Athletics | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Athletics | 47c | 29.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Rangers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Athletics | 70c | 24.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Rangers | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.