TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b6b…68eebacked No27c8,569$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,255.362454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes73c6,849$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No44c5,584$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,151.3638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No30c4,468$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.9621445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes51c4,323$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.6230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes72c3,545$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.2532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes71c2,973$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.381,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No28c2,906$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.046953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No29c2,050$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.4968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes74c2,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes69c1,992$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Yes70c1,981$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…251ebacked No49c1,877$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No41c1,792$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1119…7d62backed Yes59c1,696$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes52c1,500$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.859148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No28c1,391$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.2621353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb92d…f84bbacked No30c1,300$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes33c1,245$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9320744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59036954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa20a…d03ebacked Yes70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5df…15edbacked No30c995$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+139.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Yes40c899.33$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes72c860$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.227752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Yes72c754.15$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.992867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed No31c750$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Yes72c696.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.997536%27 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No48c484.7$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes60c463.1$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.861747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes76c460.53$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c7…1db7backed No30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes72c372.22$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26812252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes73c342.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98f…a7b9backed Yes71c334.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dae…9574backed Yes70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked No28c282$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.042962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes63c281.27$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.575257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x50a5…88a6backed Yes73c277.97$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.912638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked No32c248.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No27c240.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes72c192.49$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.592965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa991…6ce4backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed No24c135.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.954228.6%12 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes70c122$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.412357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No26c108.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5417958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6440046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed Yes70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes74c88.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No31c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.68334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe112…987cbacked Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e2…e964backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d90…d769backed Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes73c69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.377659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes72c68.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.676851.5%35 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes74c67.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed Yes57c67.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce6…f2e7backed Yes73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed No30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7824062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes73c46.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5145…ba16backed Yes72c41.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5acb…e88fbacked No31c41.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.89837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3c…9ed9backed Yes76c41.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes70c39.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.836845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes71c35.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.497241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1892…4cf5backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274e…648cbacked Yes67c32.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes72c24.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.656350.8%32 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25042%21 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Yes68c19.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.