TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf42a…8470backed Yes37c7,362$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.327024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No33c6,342$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.8679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No34c5,014$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.1638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No38c4,914$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.2113857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes64c4,540$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No35c3,712$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.8211454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No44c2,037$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.7513547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1008842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes67c1,791$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Yes54c1,664$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.72245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf85…ff54backed Yes63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes62c1,422$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.9112642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes62c1,404$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.483658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No16c1,168$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.3679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe151…d3c4backed No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No35c999.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…21fcbacked No34c990$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…28b9backed Yes63c985$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No36c945.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c8…c10bbacked Yes63c920$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No37c909.48$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.7830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b410backed No34c855$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes62c795.39$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.143138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No22c767.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.613240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b36…9cbcbacked No34c755$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6037…1e45backed No34c730$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes39c697.99$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.344134.1%14 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes57c547.58$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.255238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb134…3e8abacked Yes66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No45c483.75$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x232f…a5afbacked Yes63c476$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3270…fccfbacked Yes66c450$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc160…2353backed Yes66c435$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41de…6515backed Yes66c410$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9230…22a2backed Yes66c410$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid+66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f6…c209backed No34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+199.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No37c398.63$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2914953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes79c398.37$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.286854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf51c…66d7backed No37c390$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes65c384.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a2…adc9backed No37c365$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick33cpaid+213.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec1…a97abacked No37c365$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1953…5607backed Yes62c358.1$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb756…8a10backed Yes66c355$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d9…96e0backed No34c345$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+49.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes65c344.46$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.95358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1e…6623backed Yes66c330$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b73…dcc4backed Yes66c325$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes64c310$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.43737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18921153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes64c284.94$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No34c281.35$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.041,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a3…0b73backed No37c275$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc15d…be4abacked Yes66c265$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No34c257$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No36c250.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d8…a7d3backed Yes63c235$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb3…330fbacked No34c235$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…d203backed Yes63c230$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes63c224.19$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffb…23b6backed Yes66c220$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes72c210$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.24456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0faf…e902backed Yes63c205$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No37c200$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.818752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa940…59bebacked Yes63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…109bbacked No37c190$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No36c185.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c0…5783backed Yes66c185$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…0898backed No34c182.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.35933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f66…db66backed No34c175$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7a…5f90backed Yes66c175$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…235abacked Yes66c170$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No35c167$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5531359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No35c167$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9a…8963backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Yes63c157.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes64c156.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbc3…8769backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f5…4495backed No37c155$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664d…3f39backed Yes63c155$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf640…bf7ebacked Yes66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes63c134.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.979255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a7…3f78backed No38c133.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7c…1191backed Yes63c130$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…465dbacked No38c127.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No38c122.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.765557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x553a…d31ebacked Yes66c115$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2071…3ac6backed No37c110$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5a…0ed3backed Yes66c110$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No39c109.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4721445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7927752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.