Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Southampton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07bb5a69200e86793bfa7b6220d74e4664b381f94d0512ba42c0e623ba8e805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91e4…b351backed No | 79c | 9,993$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,894.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…d73cbacked Yes | 21c | 9,993$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 1,957$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.9 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 62c | 1,845$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.74 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 30c | 1,503$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 4c | 1,299$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 19c | 500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 79c | 381.53$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.16 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 21c | 166.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 78c | 55.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Southampton end in a draw?this page
- Will Southampton win on 2025-04-19?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.