Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820cb7e640e07ba871c249db6d17ec0a56c2a6c866fcf5167ceb7e2b3faa6b02

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 8, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $396,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $238,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,990 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	1c	56,101$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.88	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	8c	16,041$1,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,363.3	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	8c	14,787$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.62	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	5c	12,963$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.65	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d01…4c2ebacked Yes	0c	10,410$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	15c	10,108$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,508.05	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	8,411$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.88	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	6,000$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	6,000$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.99	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcdb…4566backed Yes	3c	5,800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	2c	5,156$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.9	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	14c	5,000$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0d98backed Yes	2c	2,787$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	1c	2,755$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.03	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	6c	2,496$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.15	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x316c…a68abacked Yes	2c	2,431$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	2,158$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.47	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa402…c824backed Yes	2c	2,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	60	10%6 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	1c	2,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	15c	1,922$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	1,895$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.62	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	11c	1,725$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.93	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed Yes	3c	1,717$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.63	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8413…e59fbacked Yes	3c	1,678$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.66	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	25cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	15c	1,536$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.43	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	4c	1,499$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.46	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	1,427$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.59	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6abd…9d3cbacked Yes	4c	1,425$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.82	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	11c	1,400$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	6c	1,345$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.06	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf11d…2806backed Yes	19c	1,325$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	3c	1,300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	17c	1,224$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.57	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	10c	1,195$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.46	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	9c	1,157$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.08	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a63…5d1fbacked Yes	1c	1,069$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	10c	1,050$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	19c	1,043$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.16	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Yes	16c	1,023$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.36	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes	19c	1,001$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.81	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	3c	1,001$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	18c	999.99$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	20c	999.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb112…b6d9backed Yes	17c	994.42$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	7c	972.89$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.32	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	969.06$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.98	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	6c	952.72$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca52…3963backed Yes	2c	944.22$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	2cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4c…421bbacked Yes	2c	906.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+51%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	2c	764.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	21c	734.48$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.51	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…57d5backed Yes	3c	701.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	8c	660.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	656.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709f…5672backed Yes	3c	623.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	20cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	6c	568.34$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	21c	568.31$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.22	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0101…f054backed Yes	2c	561.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x587f…7765backed Yes	20c	510.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.28	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+173.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe04b…aae8backed Yes	2c	497.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	16c	492.24$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa124…4891backed Yes	22c	478.78$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5545…8371backed Yes	12c	453.43$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Yes	19c	444.14$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2260…9fcdbacked Yes	4c	432.76$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	10c	421.05$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.58	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109e…aa11backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	14c	371.52$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.31	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5552…d1c2backed Yes	3c	367.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	20c	354.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	17c	350$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.2	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b01…c35fbacked Yes	12c	350$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0a17…0389backed Yes	18c	335.01$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	16c	329.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Yes	7c	327.69$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7c…3b96backed Yes	7c	326$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x012f…e310backed Yes	15c	325.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	14c	324.79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…6003backed Yes	18c	322.87$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+90.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes	16c	303.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f7…86ddbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	14c	300$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	118	10.2%12 W · 106 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3772…e3f7backed Yes	4c	290.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Yes	16c	286$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.69	262	24%63 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	6c	274.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3836…8660backed Yes	5c	259.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…376dbacked Yes	18c	255.67$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4c…d033backed Yes	14c	251.53$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	16c	246.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe795…a993backed Yes	9c	243.86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff27…f4d0backed Yes	23c	231.89$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.61	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865e…d006backed Yes	23c	215.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	10c	209.7$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…b904backed No	80c	201.31$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.26	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event