Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x594df4f4d61ebafbd334fc5f3af9fe5ad382daccbf99dc83eeac8f33d1810ef6

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 9, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $341,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $165,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,065 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	2c	27,216$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.13	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	4c	13,544$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.31	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	11,943$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.91	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	9c	11,555$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.83	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes	2c	11,449$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.38	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	7c	7,827$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.37	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	7c	6,110$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.13	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	1c	5,965$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.52	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	7c	5,315$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.61	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa84…b918backed Yes	5c	5,192$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	5,000$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	0c	4,370$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	3c	3,976$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.38	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes	1c	3,555$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	9c	3,511$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.18	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	3,449$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,181$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.91	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	3,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Yes	7c	2,993$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…7512backed Yes	3c	2,869$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.51	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	6c	2,867$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.21	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	18c	2,356$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.14	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	3c	2,349$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.83	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	11c	2,300$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.73	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	3c	2,234$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.35	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	10c	2,187$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.46	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	4c	2,072$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.82	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Yes	2c	2,069$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.38	79	10.1%8 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	9c	2,010$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.7	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x543f…9dafbacked Yes	4c	2,000$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	9c	1,934$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.53	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4c…3742backed Yes	11c	1,903$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	9c	1,901$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.17	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c35…1a76backed Yes	1c	1,865$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	1c	1,808$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.48	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	1,714$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.59	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	1c	1,700$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x103f…b237backed Yes	8c	1,614$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.1	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	22cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	8c	1,507$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.89	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397b…648abacked Yes	2c	1,500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	7c	1,479$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.89	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	2c	1,471$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	4c	1,403$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.62	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	5c	1,400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5803…13e7backed Yes	6c	1,342$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.67	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	6c	1,230$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.62	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…7e5fbacked Yes	13c	1,193$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.62	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	6c	1,174$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.43	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	1,143$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	8c	1,097$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	1c	1,095$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bb…ef0dbacked Yes	1c	1,081$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c0…90f5backed Yes	8c	1,054$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.45	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	2c	1,050$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	2c	1,050$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	13c	1,045$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.75	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	10c	1,005$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.28	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+173.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes	2c	1,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	14c	913.49$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.62	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes	5c	802.05$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.42	184	12%22 W · 162 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	4c	800$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaa…0e22backed Yes	7c	752.41$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	4c	747.32$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.91	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x348b…33fdbacked Yes	5c	739$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	7c	694.11$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d01…083fbacked Yes	4c	692.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	5c	562.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.32	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff1…337ebacked Yes	7c	530.55$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.61	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa090…c736backed Yes	3c	521.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	9c	501.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.87	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	5c	500$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3336…f823backed Yes	16c	500$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.01	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	10c	488.37$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.29	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0321…7149backed Yes	12c	483.48$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.2	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa124…4891backed Yes	4c	463.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	9c	447.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	12c	410.2$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2260…9fcdbacked Yes	10c	408.94$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63b1…57d5backed Yes	5c	405.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	5c	396.58$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	12c	388.08$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.19	170	12.9%22 W · 148 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f2…376dbacked Yes	12c	387.77$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa4…0821backed Yes	9c	360.09$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x179e…ebe8backed Yes	12c	358.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.61	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	4c	357.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	9c	356.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	13c	353$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	5c	334.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9944…b035backed Yes	4c	333.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-61%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3836…8660backed Yes	8c	330.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	5c	323.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	4c	319.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	9c	296.91$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3382…67cbbacked Yes	10c	270$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	9c	250$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa53e…b957backed Yes	8c	244.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	+48%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	16c	240$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.26	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event