MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64a9f6e733252c8a96ba4f4c452bcf29ab005b6d5f8ba49a3515cbf239fb1d04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Dodgers, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers | 59c | 21,596$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,735.41 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 12,326$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.04 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 11,095$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546.59 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 10,823$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385.53 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 8,949$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.74 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 7,456$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.58 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Dodgers | 36c | 5,739$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.64 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 18c | 5,307$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.58 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,959$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.12 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers | 59c | 3,074$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.81 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Dodgers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 50c | 2,498$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Dodgers | 56c | 2,074$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.2 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 4c | 2,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers | 11c | 1,755$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,613$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.69 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 62c | 1,515$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.12 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,335$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 8c | 1,237$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,208$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,073$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 41c | 1,047$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.1 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,017$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.89 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,002$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…4528backed Dodgers | 21c | 879$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Dodgers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Dodgers | 60c | 814.98$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 702.05$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Dodgers | 20c | 685.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 607.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.98 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 39c | 493.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 62c | 483.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Dodgers | 54c | 430$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Dodgers | 58c | 429$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6faa…61cfbacked Dodgers | 6c | 382.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Dodgers | 59c | 370.81$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 363.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 350$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 348$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers | 31c | 338.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Dodgers | 4c | 333.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Dodgers | 62c | 332.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 321.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dodgers | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…847dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 5c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers | 59c | 245$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 231.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Dodgers | 9c | 219.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers | 59c | 212$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dodgers | 20c | 197.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Dodgers | 56c | 193.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 160.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…8ae2backed Dodgers | 59c | 138.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Dodgers | 60c | 134.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Dodgers | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…3893backed Dodgers | 43c | 107.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 105.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…988dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers | 59c | 87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Dodgers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…b8cbbacked Dodgers | 14c | 80.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dodgers | 53c | 70.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dodgers | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 63c | 63.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Dodgers | 61c | 62.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Dodgers | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Dodgers | 60c | 42.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 42c | 41.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Dodgers | 56c | 39.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Dodgers | 60c | 37.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 33.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…2d06backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 31.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…0efdbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 28.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Dodgers | 59c | 28.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 62c | 27.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Dodgers | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.