TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed Yes62c57,258$35,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,230.012646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No38c38,543$14,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,030.3711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes61c16,791$10,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,257.79235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes63c16,139$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,10011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No39c15,483$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,444.624143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No39c12,284$4,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,482.230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c7,711$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.1879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No41c6,824$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.049754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No39c6,300$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.7179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes48c5,914$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.586137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes63c5,727$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.931952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+71.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes60c5,148$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c4,364$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.3290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No38c4,050$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.9768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No38c2,771$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.0613857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No38c2,399$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.0224566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No71c2,258$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.320744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No37c2,103$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.5783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002450%12 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes61c1,482$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No36c1,169$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.165650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes62c1,074$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No39c1,069$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.591,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Yes63c770.29$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No40c645.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No38c637.57$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No41c610$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked No37c583.97$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.91747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No37c581$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.321445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes61c532.79$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb3…2efcbacked No38c511.68$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No38c464.98$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.517447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…0be5backed Yes63c444.44$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes63c400$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.132736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes15c361.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes43c338.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7732737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa1…250abacked Yes63c303.31$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.38560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No66c302.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.015141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes63c270$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.12138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes61c267.21$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1638742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Yes61c256.26$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.58747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes54c238$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5812149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes62c235.48$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes63c221.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.793551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes10c202.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes14c160$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.936954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No38c148.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No38c134$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No72c126$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.248254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes28c123.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes63c119.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes63c99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.372751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0460…e16abacked Yes61c98.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No40c87.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3916955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.35851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes21c81.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c72…bc79backed Yes60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3448…0246backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No38c77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7431359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes63c71.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e6…5468backed Yes62c65.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.666457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c2…0396backed Yes63c60.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ef…cc52backed Yes61c55.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No37c45.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7916863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.920958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No43c44.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1614953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3390…95d6backed Yes64c40.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.28334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes63c37.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.354940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd012…ba7dbacked Yes63c33.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206851.5%35 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No39c26.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0418752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe98…c7afbacked Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…90b2backed Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf185…1bd1backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123941%16 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes63c17.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.936845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…baa2backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.