NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe517f72a6a44d4de621b1fcbc33dc4720e7812cd64df01d3d3b42536905962d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Avalanche, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Avalanche | 69c | 95,500$65,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,895 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 32c | 75,000$23,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,249.74 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Sharks | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 68c | 25,000$16,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,937.28 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sharks | 32c | 16,951$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,526.36 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 68c | 16,233$11,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,038.58 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Sharks | 31c | 14,991$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,343.93 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…47e6backed Avalanche | 1c | 9,116$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sharks | 32c | 8,744$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.92 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 31c | 7,500$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Sharks | 41c | 5,413$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Sharks | 34c | 5,034$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Avalanche | 63c | 5,000$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.99 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…a92fbacked Sharks | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 36c | 3,990$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks | 31c | 3,847$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.81 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…fdafbacked Sharks | 32c | 3,800$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab31…9dd0backed Avalanche | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Avalanche | 77c | 3,410$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.42 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…5aa0backed Sharks | 32c | 3,200$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…fb6ebacked Sharks | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Avalanche | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…ef25backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,716$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…ac08backed Sharks | 32c | 2,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Sharks | 40c | 2,522$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.95 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks | 37c | 2,437$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.56 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…d8b8backed Avalanche | 68c | 2,400$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Avalanche | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…fc27backed Avalanche | 68c | 2,200$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sharks | 37c | 2,196$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.16 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Avalanche | 48c | 2,066$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sharks | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…c3b5backed Avalanche | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks | 38c | 1,843$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.42 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,838$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…7879backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…b220backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche | 1c | 1,677$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,591$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.2 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,553$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.84 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sharks | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,483$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.61 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…a199backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4837…6cdcbacked Avalanche | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,394$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.98 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,302$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…ed77backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,300$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…a9d5backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,300$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,187$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,168$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.03 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Avalanche | 69c | 1,136$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Sharks | 32c | 1,136$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734d…b810backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sharks | 32c | 1,016$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.32 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…baf7backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 66c | 946$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.72 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Sharks | 32c | 936.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 67c | 916.61$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.65 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche | 68c | 900.19$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.13 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 32c | 897.2$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.1 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 28c | 758.58$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Avalanche | 67c | 745.13$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.24 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Avalanche | 59c | 735.49$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.82 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Sharks | 44c | 707$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.02 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 31c | 700$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Avalanche | 69c | 592.36$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Sharks | 52c | 514$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Avalanche | 6c | 502.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…ad96backed Avalanche | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Sharks | 33c | 498$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.66 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Avalanche | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 42c | 440.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 36c | 429.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche | 61c | 415$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 67c | 412.53$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Avalanche | 67c | 408.92$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.98 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Avalanche | 42c | 407.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Avalanche | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Avalanche | 61c | 390.16$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche | 59c | 348$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Sharks | 32c | 330.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Avalanche | 62c | 313.26$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sharks | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Avalanche | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Avalanche | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Avalanche | 69c | 286.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 67c | 285$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Sharks | 29c | 268.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Avalanche | 63c | 263.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…a709backed Sharks | 32c | 250.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0afebacked Sharks | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Sharks | 42c | 240.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Sharks | 31c | 234.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Sharksthis page
- Avalanche vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.