Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x842106b99ca82d093b8bc64c18fffa59c39736f6bf03d74371f7f87d36b6ef88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Yes | 50c | 53,175$26,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,394.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 38,851$17,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,059.92 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 49c | 25,011$12,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,375.19 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 58c | 9,999$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.41 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 40c | 8,858$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.32 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 44c | 7,721$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 51c | 6,889$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.69 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Yes | 42c | 5,574$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 50c | 5,400$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.5 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 36c | 5,005$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.42 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 14c | 4,476$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 51c | 3,753$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.08 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 50c | 3,585$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 49c | 3,548$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.74 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 48c | 2,931$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 52c | 2,550$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c420backed No | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Yes | 49c | 1,377$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Yes | 51c | 1,364$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 6c | 1,310$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 1,281$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.77 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 37c | 1,227$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,001$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Yes | 48c | 844.6$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 801$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Yes | 46c | 798.22$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 53c | 757.63$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 741.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 71c | 586.47$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 59c | 555$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed No | 56c | 522$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed No | 53c | 520.75$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 50c | 504.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 48c | 503.84$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 51c | 494.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes | 64c | 439.62$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 50c | 433$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 52c | 407$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 48c | 404.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 51c | 329.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 49c | 310.25$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Yes | 48c | 278.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4197…6b31backed Yes | 76c | 239.92$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Yes | 51c | 223.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 51c | 214.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…a27ebacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 49c | 197.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…226ebacked Yes | 49c | 175.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…b9dcbacked Yes | 53c | 169.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…893ebacked Yes | 49c | 162.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 162$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 47c | 149.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed No | 51c | 124.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0685backed No | 27c | 123.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed No | 50c | 119.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 53c | 114.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 50c | 114.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 50c | 104.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…52d6backed Yes | 53c | 92.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…8965backed Yes | 50c | 89.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 49c | 81.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 80c | 75.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.