Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7350af3e8ecb7f7e41742d92733abd4e22e2f409d7f23f2d8d09bd8569661d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…bf99backed No | 0c | 11,060$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes | 73c | 5,955$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 27c | 5,142$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.56 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 29c | 4,801$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 4,061$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.12 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 29c | 3,887$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.66 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 71c | 3,878$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…64febacked Yes | 72c | 2,756$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 70c | 2,290$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.07 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…e999backed No | 27c | 1,877$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…b727backed Yes | 73c | 1,877$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…432ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,817$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 10c | 1,573$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,218$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,140$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Yes | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 72c | 1,037$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 11c | 978.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 28c | 938$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 912.33$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed No | 29c | 610$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 71c | 492.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked No | 29c | 486.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…40f7backed Yes | 73c | 344.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 22c | 337.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 29c | 235.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 206.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…c3cebacked Yes | 71c | 204.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…40b7backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 28c | 172.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 26c | 170.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 72c | 148.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked No | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 24c | 105.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…226ebacked Yes | 78c | 79.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…7301backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…5c33backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 26c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…d771backed No | 27c | 59.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 71c | 54.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Yes | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…66b3backed No | 29c | 46.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 78c | 43.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…953abacked Yes | 73c | 36.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…aebabacked Yes | 75c | 36.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 72c | 34.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…e16abacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…5dfebacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…f976backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes | 72c | 28.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…8622backed Yes | 73c | 28.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d66…3c95backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…36d1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…9ccdbacked Yes | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…8bc3backed Yes | 73c | 22.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe404…f3ccbacked Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…2390backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Yes | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Yes | 71c | 19.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…b74bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will FCSB win on 2025-03-13?No won
- Will Lyon vs. FCSB end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.