NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc622641cdb0aa39b1dde2a4fd90337cfbc643cde99b0335371cfa1cb66fd1460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Heat, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $663,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 23c | 41,261$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,624.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 13c | 37,844$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.82 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 29c | 30,464$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,947.36 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 29c | 24,309$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,102.15 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 33c | 17,758$5,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,873.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat | 14c | 15,210$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.36 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Heat | 10c | 14,862$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.61 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Heat | 11c | 10,452$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.38 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers | 42c | 10,000$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.27 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 1c | 9,338$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 15c | 8,050$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.58 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…3e17backed Heat | 9c | 7,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 11c | 6,723$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.53 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 6c | 6,500$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 10c | 6,026$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.57 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Heat | 19c | 5,577$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.97 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Heat | 0c | 5,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 13c | 4,557$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.43 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 14c | 4,433$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 18c | 4,245$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.98 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 17c | 3,405$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.86 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.93 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 11c | 2,872$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.88 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 14c | 2,600$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.93 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 23c | 2,558$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 15c | 2,479$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.75 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Heat | 6c | 2,225$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Heat | 14c | 2,195$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.3 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 14c | 2,115$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Cavaliers | 63c | 2,100$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Heat | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 15c | 1,883$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.91 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 14c | 1,863$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 24c | 1,851$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.23 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 13c | 1,824$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Heat | 12c | 1,724$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Heat | 16c | 1,689$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Heat | 17c | 1,617$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.01 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 16c | 1,604$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Heat | 11c | 1,589$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…cd24backed Heat | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Heat | 12c | 1,568$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 1c | 1,465$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Heat | 14c | 1,464$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Heat | 14c | 1,394$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,381$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 23c | 1,331$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Heat | 11c | 1,284$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Heat | 10c | 1,185$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 13c | 1,170$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 17c | 1,163$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Heat | 14c | 1,130$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,124$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Heat | 11c | 1,120$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Heat | 20c | 1,083$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 2c | 1,038$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 15c | 1,033$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Heat | 11c | 1,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 16c | 983.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Heat | 11c | 909.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…c102backed Heat | 13c | 874.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Heat | 17c | 757.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 12c | 740$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Heat | 43c | 739.22$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.31 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 25c | 729.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 15c | 724.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Heat | 14c | 721.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 700.01$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Heat | 15c | 685.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 15c | 664.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Heat | 6c | 596.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Heat | 16c | 593.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Cavaliers | 51c | 587.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 563.73$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 11c | 525$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers | 79c | 510.32$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Heat | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Cavaliers | 53c | 499.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Heat | 15c | 499.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed Heat | 17c | 468.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…3620backed Heat | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Heat | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 63c | 416.22$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…2b45backed Heat | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Heat | 12c | 403.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Heat | 14c | 396.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Heat | 16c | 393.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 12c | 390.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Heat | 20c | 381.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 16c | 369.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Heat | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Heat | 17c | 348.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 15c | 343$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Heat | 8c | 327.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Cavaliers | 51c | 320.66$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.