TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c00…003abacked No59c10,006$5,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,903.6540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6186…2b98backed Yes41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No9c5,822$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.529244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes30c5,635$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,927.354425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.963961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No10c4,776$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes42c3,064$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.433655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No59c2,794$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.695853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No18c997.9$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.353737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No57c847.71$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1910845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes72c826$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.021566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No59c822.03$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48516447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes40c795.78$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.4724742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes42c529.34$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.955754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No59c521.13$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4744955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes42c499.69$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes41c499.57$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.753125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes79c453.85$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.368452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes42c333$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.142634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17116836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes56c295.7$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.715349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No59c254$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No28c203.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.062250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes59c186.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0324963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2be7…a41bbacked No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+203%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4f…b359backed Yes42c164.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No60c161.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.74351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked No58c158.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No68c152.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7625735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes30c148.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0113139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes69c144.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c126$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3438356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes48c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.529341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807b…89b7backed Yes44c125.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.42933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Yes44c122.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes37c121.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.935242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes37c121.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.66527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cc4…9e48backed Yes42c119.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.44825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0510040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes44c105.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4111635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes43c104.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.654751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No60c100.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2713238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fab…5797backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No59c98.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5161…771ebacked No58c98.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked No58c85.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+95.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No59c84.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.061637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No48c78.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes43c76.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.161323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x657a…aad5backed Yes69c72.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.795625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2453…a614backed Yes44c60.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd498…2ed6backed No59c58.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9e…dde1backed No59c55.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ba…9fd1backed No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6282…1b95backed Yes42c44.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b9…9e26backed Yes41c39.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No59c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0128357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd873…694bbacked No59c37.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb473…b769backed No58c37.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8866…21b9backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…0d34backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fcd…88d6backed Yes42c32.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…7edcbacked No58c32.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6a…4bc6backed Yes42c31.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad5…65bebacked No58c31.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…3012backed No57c31.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b2…6da7backed Yes43c31.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+155.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcad2…531ebacked Yes41c31.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7942…25a5backed Yes42c30.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…8b91backed No58c30.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4935…5087backed Yes42c30.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6977…97b8backed Yes43c30.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb019…dad2backed No57c30.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.47846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd98…3fd2backed No58c29.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa03c…471bbacked Yes41c29.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd3…3a66backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…6306backed No58c28.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d2a…fdb3backed Yes42c28.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a9…47fbbacked No58c27.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd826…a325backed Yes42c27.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b8b…e219backed Yes43c27.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e3…ebe1backed Yes42c27.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe087…0734backed Yes42c27.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc4…a371backed No58c26.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af7…a61ebacked No59c26.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b6…d91bbacked Yes42c25.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.