Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fbbe050e49543673b15a39e0f578a68854f736ec6c7e28eee2c9f513a0fdc2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,039$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 0c | 11,220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 62c | 8,925$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.01 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 38c | 8,821$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…683bbacked Yes | 27c | 8,023$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed No | 73c | 8,023$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 3,532$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.94 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 34c | 2,442$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.16 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 1,884$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.28 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 64c | 1,665$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.36 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 38c | 1,604$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Yes | 13c | 790.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 585.07$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 42c | 568.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 40c | 511.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 27c | 461.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 27c | 411.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 299.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 26c | 199.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…138ebacked No | 75c | 188.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 38c | 157$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 23c | 121.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 73c | 121.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 26c | 110.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 73c | 102.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 26c | 98.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed No | 74c | 91.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked No | 74c | 90.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1e1fbacked Yes | 23c | 77.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed No | 71c | 70.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked No | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 57.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed No | 74c | 54.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…bd13backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…4bb1backed Yes | 35c | 42.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 68c | 22.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…67adbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fb…b474backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…ec7dbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus win on 2025-02-19?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.