TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers76c30,024$22,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,086.491,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Bulls22c17,338$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,831.2834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Cavaliers78c15,300$11,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,37736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls14c10,050$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.971,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Bulls13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3007647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls24c7,454$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.3747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Bulls13c7,434$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.4728241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Bulls18c6,736$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.1733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Cavaliers76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.959572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls13c4,744$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Bulls15c3,550$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls40c3,550$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers75c2,619$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.685,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls12c2,536$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.6872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Bulls14c1,997$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.581050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bulls22c1,951$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers72c1,897$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.521,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls6c1,714$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls18c1,423$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Bulls15c1,335$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Cavaliers78c1,164$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9919451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls16c1,130$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad4…dc12backed Bulls39c1,039$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Bulls17c1,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.59430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Bulls13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls13c951.86$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc2…db6abacked Bulls20c945$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Bulls22c887.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls20c882.15$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4331935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Bulls20c839.46$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.969827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Cavaliers80c800.74$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7484957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers79c761.61$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76e…ae69backed Bulls15c645.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers80c632.66$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.539868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bulls15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls9c580$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.778783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Bulls42c549.11$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305050%25 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Bulls20c500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls4c486$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.311,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Bulls7c468.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.61088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls17c443.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.081,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17a6…3680backed Bulls21c433.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83a7…3bcbbacked Bulls16c422.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.651844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls13c405$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Bulls12c391.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9513929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5f…1e74backed Bulls30c387.58$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.154238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1953…9e2ebacked Bulls5c370$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92025%5 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+160.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Bulls7c368.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls14c364.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Bulls16c353.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Bulls20c345$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Bulls15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2112…0befbacked Bulls15c322.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Bulls5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Cavaliers66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10229747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Cavaliers79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Cavaliers72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Bulls13c299.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9940448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd15c…e6e4backed Cavaliers79c277.68$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6811256.3%63 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4688…a6b7backed Bulls23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Bulls10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e6…216dbacked Bulls20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Bulls12c220$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310720.6%22 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Bulls14c217.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4422733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6341…5b26backed Bulls19c214$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Cavaliers61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bc…8946backed Bulls15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f4…e5f6backed Bulls16c193.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.033450%17 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2799…ae03backed Bulls16c188.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30170%0 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Bulls14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Bulls14c170$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67935.4%28 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bulls24c154.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3520447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls23c145.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.283,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Bulls16c141.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2365726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bulls15c140$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls15c136.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Bulls15c135$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.626041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Bulls15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010226.5%27 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Bulls15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019038.4%73 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Bulls9c133$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e72…100dbacked Bulls17c133$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fe…2313backed Bulls17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Bulls16c127.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Bulls14c125$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde2…952dbacked Bulls16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b3…8cf7backed Bulls8c122.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.272934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Bulls20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Bulls14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ab…ec05backed Bulls16c118.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.014459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f9…e537backed Bulls13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc739…e4f9backed Cavaliers77c115$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Bulls22c107.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.