NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07bef366439cccb101a8e42a972ebfa216bf2bb0d4edecba68b3fe7b837a784d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 38c | 24,307$9,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,074.35 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Knicks | 43c | 19,992$8,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,676.7 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Knicks | 54c | 18,061$9,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,781.13 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Knicks | 32c | 8,849$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.6 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Knicks | 65c | 6,191$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 37c | 6,050$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.35 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 49c | 6,000$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Warriors | 41c | 5,825$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.31 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Warriors | 54c | 3,779$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.67 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 48c | 3,487$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.04 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…cac5backed Warriors | 54c | 3,467$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Warriors | 37c | 3,371$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.76 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 54c | 3,308$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed Knicks | 65c | 3,023$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Knicks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Warriors | 40c | 2,671$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.35 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Knicks | 60c | 2,460$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.78 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Warriors | 62c | 2,407$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.53 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Warriors | 38c | 2,396$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.58 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 50c | 2,343$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.28 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 63c | 2,332$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.21 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Knicks | 43c | 2,313$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.39 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 52c | 2,301$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.09 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks | 64c | 2,295$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.63 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,268$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.8 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks | 56c | 2,199$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.57 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Knicks | 2c | 2,050$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,050$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.81 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,980$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks | 63c | 1,973$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.17 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Warriors | 34c | 1,913$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.51 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Warriors | 37c | 1,869$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.44 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Knicks | 57c | 1,839$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.65 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 63c | 1,823$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.36 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks | 62c | 1,689$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.21 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Warriors | 39c | 1,673$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.57 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 37c | 1,667$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.21 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Knicks | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Knicks | 62c | 1,531$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Knicks | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Warriors | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Warriors | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.94 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Knicks | 1c | 1,459$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 60c | 1,454$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.66 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 10c | 1,275$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Knicks | 63c | 1,211$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.84 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Warriors | 39c | 1,200$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.94 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Knicks | 63c | 1,139$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.51 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…8dcebacked Knicks | 63c | 1,117$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Warriors | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.9 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Knicks | 64c | 1,073$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 65c | 1,070$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.4 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…0d95backed Knicks | 63c | 1,050$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 49c | 1,044$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.44 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,007$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.2 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 6c | 999.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 35c | 960.26$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.17 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Knicks | 63c | 941.34$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.04 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Warriors | 44c | 928.09$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 47c | 927.42$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.1 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked Knicks | 51c | 920$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Warriors | 45c | 884.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.93 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Warriors | 36c | 863.15$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.14 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Warriors | 37c | 831.08$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Warriors | 40c | 780$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 41c | 737$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Warriors | 40c | 630.47$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Knicks | 60c | 630$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Warriors | 37c | 618.1$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.34 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Warriors | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Knicks | 53c | 564.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Knicks | 60c | 560$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Knicks | 59c | 549.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Knicks | 53c | 530$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Warriors | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Warriors | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…a6b7backed Knicks | 29c | 501.21$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Knicks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Knicks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Warriors | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…6432backed Knicks | 38c | 489.47$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Knicks | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Knicks | 53c | 420$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Warriors | 36c | 412.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.01 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Knicks | 63c | 405$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.11 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Knicks | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Knicks | 62c | 399.87$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors | 39c | 397.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Warriors | 37c | 390.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…095dbacked Warriors | 38c | 387.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Knicks | 62c | 376.94$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Warriors | 39c | 372.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…f7f8backed Warriors | 38c | 363$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.