Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcfce8c9c0b7fa5587e5298a2ae21a0da3aeb50686afe9a805b82db34be357ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 0c | 18,660$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 21c | 9,369$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.22 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 59c | 5,627$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.08 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 5,154$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.15 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 17c | 2,519$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.31 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 18c | 2,285$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.1 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 1,471$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.23 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Yes | 74c | 1,004$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 485$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.68 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 22c | 374.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 66c | 360.38$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 17c | 224$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 40c | 210$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 20c | 200.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 49c | 122.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 72c | 119$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…8559backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…815ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…88a8backed Yes | 72c | 89.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 41c | 88.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Yes | 17c | 81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 69c | 56.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 54c | 54.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…23dabacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 67c | 21.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d77backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 57c | 17.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-02-22?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.