Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e81521e04856a022cf13e35c09b62da4c6d3c8213fb052f88535c5afaa930a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 3c | 2,008$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 79c | 1,810$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.69 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 1,066$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 16c | 643.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…577bbacked No | 79c | 530.38$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 480$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…d54ebacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 23c | 413.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…b897backed Yes | 23c | 352.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…34b4backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 27c | 241.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 235.62$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 21c | 172.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 77c | 123.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…815ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…b8a9backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 79c | 33.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc9…7e94backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-22?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.