NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77802a2b6ca3ff7aa19a43bc5dc0b32a01ced030166f2e4f82839686d4d5507f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Lakers, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 22,089$14,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,731.26 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 14,943$9,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Lakers | 34c | 12,048$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 34c | 7,902$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.28 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 7,438$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.94 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Trail Blazers | 76c | 7,175$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.89 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Lakers | 33c | 6,000$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lakers | 37c | 5,692$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.86 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 26c | 4,936$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.7 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 36c | 4,139$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.06 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 32c | 3,615$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.49 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 3,593$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lakers | 35c | 3,440$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 2,998$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.28 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 2,390$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.74 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 1,938$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 1,840$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 1,785$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.77 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lakers | 33c | 1,682$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 1,618$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.57 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,550$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 1,520$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Lakers | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,412$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lakers | 35c | 1,315$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.21 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Lakers | 4c | 1,307$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Trail Blazers | 80c | 1,224$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 32c | 1,215$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.01 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…60d1backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 1,183$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lakers | 34c | 1,182$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…f61ebacked Lakers | 43c | 1,143$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers | 25c | 1,125$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,062$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.29 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 1,052$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.15 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,026$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.85 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 64c | 899.98$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…ef9dbacked Lakers | 34c | 881.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 34c | 790.21$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 751.59$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Lakers | 34c | 738.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 708.69$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.87 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Lakers | 50c | 702.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lakers | 32c | 655.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 600$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 553.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 71c | 500$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 36c | 490.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…f42cbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 490.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Lakers | 3c | 467$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 401.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.83 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Lakers | 29c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 390$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Lakers | 35c | 369$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 362.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 352.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 327.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Lakers | 33c | 301.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Lakers | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Lakers | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lakers | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Lakers | 32c | 232.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lakers | 37c | 227.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Lakers | 33c | 202.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Lakers | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Lakers | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Lakers | 31c | 193.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Lakers | 33c | 175.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Lakers | 13c | 170.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Lakers | 20c | 155.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…ac88backed Lakers | 30c | 152.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Trail Blazers | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…95a9backed Lakers | 33c | 148.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb72…fa52backed Lakers | 34c | 147.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…b2b6backed Lakers | 32c | 147.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Lakers | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…8bc6backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 127.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…380fbacked Lakers | 34c | 123.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 121$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Lakers | 32c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…3948backed Lakers | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Lakers | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 35c | 117.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Lakers | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 112.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Lakers | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…56dabacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…e755backed Lakers | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.