TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1c7…8371backed Yes61c11,553$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No40c5,363$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.7836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No49c5,140$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6419244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No52c4,649$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.595853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes20c1,765$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes35c1,526$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No70c1,088$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.33839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa120…bc6dbacked Yes30c629.73$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17519645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fde…29a1backed No71c442.6$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes27c433.84$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c427.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bda…8028backed Yes31c322.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes29c302.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7738048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e8…15dcbacked Yes35c291.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5cf…3c7ebacked No72c278.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf348…2a84backed No72c276.64$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No70c262$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.612147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5150…8539backed Yes31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Yes31c219.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes30c216.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No72c210$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.83076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes60c168$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-73.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed No71c149.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…e92abacked No70c118$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No55c114.81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8130754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x985f…a5bebacked Yes30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes59c101.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf342…5f9dbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+110.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+123.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccb…b817backed Yes30c82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed No70c73.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31b…07e0backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes29c67.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes16c66.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.653033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaec…1864backed Yes29c66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9b…0cdebacked Yes29c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked No72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba4…8964backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd24f…3f60backed Yes29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5203…28b8backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe175…4ca5backed Yes29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed No71c50.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c50.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.229136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b26…dc27backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb600…8357backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fb…b3c6backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653f…5bdebacked Yes30c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0999…8d8abacked Yes29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8507…c029backed Yes29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764d…0150backed Yes29c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Yes37c37.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa414…d03dbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84e3…2f14backed No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…e437backed No70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5256…e3b3backed No71c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0374…e1eebacked No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6417…a23ebacked No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0d…8b60backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14f…186ebacked No72c28.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…fa19backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d72…3cdcbacked No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb3…8b6dbacked No71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc34…b158backed No71c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa08…45b7backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f94…946cbacked No71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad6…25acbacked No71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfddc…8a1cbacked No71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3627…882cbacked No70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0672…8441backed No71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…2878backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…a61bbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.093100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc073…e630backed No70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6930…9c11backed No70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…4d24backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.218758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ac…82a8backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…ba9abacked No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…2f93backed No70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6956…c37fbacked No71c15.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.381070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd018…47b3backed No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.