NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e49c8fef05cbbe9252d9be561ace534e9b4e7254e9e1f2cf7ee5a909c201ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Dolphins, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Dolphins | 43c | 79,710$34,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,275.47 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Texans | 57c | 53,441$30,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,979.61 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 42c | 31,109$13,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,217.71 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Texans | 69c | 28,262$19,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,848.49 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dolphins | 19c | 17,576$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.19 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Texans | 59c | 9,615$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.98 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Dolphins | 31c | 9,488$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.7 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Texans | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.99 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Dolphins | 34c | 8,128$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.89 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Dolphins | 29c | 7,972$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.56 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Texans | 57c | 7,623$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.96 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…68b9backed Dolphins | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Texans | 72c | 6,829$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.95 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Texans | 59c | 6,663$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Texans | 49c | 6,561$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Texans | 57c | 5,456$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.08 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…dbc7backed Texans | 57c | 5,207$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Dolphins | 41c | 4,182$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.62 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Dolphins | 40c | 4,127$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Texans | 57c | 4,066$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.88 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Texans | 57c | 4,010$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.12 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Texans | 60c | 3,500$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.47 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Texans | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.96 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Dolphins | 18c | 3,383$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.83 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Dolphins | 1c | 3,352$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Texans | 72c | 3,117$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans | 56c | 3,007$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.19 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Dolphins | 27c | 2,871$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.18 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Texans | 58c | 2,759$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.95 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Texans | 60c | 2,729$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…4924backed Dolphins | 42c | 2,619$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texans | 57c | 2,567$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.81 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Texans | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Texans | 58c | 2,330$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.76 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Texans | 58c | 1,900$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.87 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…d141backed Dolphins | 43c | 1,757$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…cb20backed Texans | 58c | 1,756$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dolphins | 41c | 1,754$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.18 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…5ec1backed Texans | 57c | 1,685$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Texans | 70c | 1,509$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Texans | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Texans | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Dolphins | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Dolphins | 36c | 1,205$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.95 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Dolphins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Dolphins | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Dolphins | 42c | 1,120$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Dolphins | 28c | 1,083$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Dolphins | 42c | 1,039$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Texans | 58c | 1,035$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Dolphins | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Dolphins | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Dolphins | 47c | 992.09$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.23 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Texans | 59c | 944.92$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Dolphins | 42c | 944.86$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Dolphins | 20c | 936.44$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Dolphins | 41c | 927.18$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Texans | 59c | 923.93$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Texans | 57c | 921.35$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…74d1backed Dolphins | 43c | 921.35$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Texans | 80c | 917.19$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…423cbacked Texans | 59c | 873.12$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Texans | 58c | 805.57$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Texans | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…10bebacked Texans | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…9508backed Dolphins | 43c | 774.42$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Texans | 59c | 734.59$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Dolphins | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Texans | 58c | 681.03$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…1d20backed Texans | 57c | 668.17$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Dolphins | 43c | 668.17$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Texans | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Dolphins | 22c | 617.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Dolphins | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc051…581cbacked Dolphins | 43c | 580.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…47c9backed Texans | 57c | 580.5$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…d3dabacked Dolphins | 44c | 513.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Texans | 14c | 512.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.48 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Dolphins | 17c | 501.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…7cdbbacked Texans | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Texans | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Dolphins | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Texans | 59c | 488$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…3083backed Dolphins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Dolphins | 42c | 444$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Dolphins | 7c | 420.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3b72backed Texans | 57c | 387.14$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…1988backed Dolphins | 43c | 387.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Dolphins | 35c | 379.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Dolphins | 22c | 366.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Texans | 57c | 354.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Texans | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Texans | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dolphins | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Dolphins | 42c | 314.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Dolphins | 43c | 279$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…ca61backed Texans | 58c | 261.18$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Texans | 57c | 251.16$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Dolphins | 41c | 250$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.