Exact Score: Any Other Score?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aba78bbd74e1fbbdd9176947869476000098df857aca375f05f92072c1a1f81

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	10,383$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	18c	9,000$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.28	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes	18c	5,842$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.14	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	9c	4,140$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	18c	1,944$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x560b…a72dbacked Yes	1c	1,896$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	388	17%66 W · 322 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes	1c	1,300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Yes	18c	1,250$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	18c	1,218$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.99	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes	20c	1,168$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.62	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes	10c	1,031$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.59	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	7c	999.98$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	17c	604.02$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.64	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa919…65fabacked Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5473…f736backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	18.1%13 W · 59 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes	18c	427.78$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	222	16.2%36 W · 186 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e78…898dbacked Yes	17c	411.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+161.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes	18c	366.67$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	177	27.7%49 W · 128 L	-10.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Yes	18c	350$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes	15c	330.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	12.9%15 W · 101 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5e8fbacked Yes	17c	303$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	13.8%17 W · 106 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe7…34c3backed Yes	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	12c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes	10c	190.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7c…4eefbacked Yes	6c	178.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes	18c	163.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	279	9.7%27 W · 252 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9957…0666backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	18c	140$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes	18c	140$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	205	32.2%66 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…d849backed Yes	18c	125.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	80	27.5%22 W · 58 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+79.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	18c	119.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb754…78a2backed Yes	18c	113.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab5…bc89backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	9.2%14 W · 138 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2142…4c97backed Yes	17c	103$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	-12.9wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8652…c889backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19b…dea8backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370a…cd77backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	91	40.7%37 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe67d…8180backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa0…c2c2backed Yes	16c	82.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Yes	16c	81.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	785	59.7%469 W · 316 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked Yes	18c	81.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes	18c	72.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	138	51.4%71 W · 67 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes	18c	61.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	211	33.2%70 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…e3b2backed Yes	18c	56.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No	80c	55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event