TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,153,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,185,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,153,786 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c148,445$17,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,110.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c143,652$16,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,289.882,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes12c44,526$5,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,194.852828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes12c42,147$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes11c35,297$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.6978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes12c23,947$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.181,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c16,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes12c15,912$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.4411218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes12c11,580$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.2635514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes11c10,909$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c10,001$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.1625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes11c9,994$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.3524526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes17c8,804$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.237632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes11c7,169$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.591567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes15c6,872$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes11c5,401$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.0827520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes11c5,025$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.0919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes11c4,387$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5325228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c4,030$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes11c3,763$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.939218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c3,615$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes11c3,068$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes11c2,865$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.16826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes11c2,765$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8626216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes11c2,545$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes12c2,514$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.997816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300316.5%2 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2759033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes9c2,500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c2,500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250639.5%6 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Yes13c2,351$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8620334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5797…8636backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011232.1%36 W · 76 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes13c2,069$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7931611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21df…af60backed Yes13c1,999$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes11c1,942$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7527034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes10c1,929$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes11c1,836$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20228425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes11c1,820$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.25315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes11c1,804$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…5713backed Yes12c1,717$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007025.7%18 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes10c1,700$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17027811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes12c1,699$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes11c1,693$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0812114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes13c1,598$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.741,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes13c1,586$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes11c1,582$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c1,534$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.26729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes11c1,442$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.981,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes11c1,429$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1934751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes11c1,400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546320.6%13 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes15c1,345$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes11c1,300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes12c1,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes12c1,150$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…baabbacked Yes12c1,130$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.572317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Yes11c1,082$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.028639.5%34 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb159…c29dbacked Yes11c1,036$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3028…8621backed Yes12c1,027$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.253040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107349.3%36 W · 37 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes11c1,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.523944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes7c945.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc961…db04backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e00…cd8fbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009243.5%40 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71c…5d7ebacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1743…e614backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011132.4%36 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Yes11c887.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5793…6977backed Yes16c839.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1318856.8%50 W · 38 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc75a…a4c1backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe9…d22ebacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ff1…e743backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c2…b793backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes12c825$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9933915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes12c823$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6547321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.