Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0b5bf24d08719f91d6db95aa18c9bec41bf43d3e5645affd46f71e39cb51204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 45,006$7,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,691.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 32,766$9,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,371.11 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 26,793$20,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 13c | 25,057$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.83 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Yes | 11c | 16,756$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.12 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 15,440$10,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,954.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 51c | 8,832$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 73c | 6,554$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.2 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 13c | 6,154$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 12c | 6,107$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.29 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 5,529$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.17 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 5,117$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.54 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 21c | 4,999$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.84 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 28c | 4,774$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.36 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 23c | 4,739$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.92 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,390$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.9 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 4,294$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.34 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 10c | 4,103$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.29 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 21c | 4,038$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.03 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 11c | 3,909$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 42c | 3,858$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 3,471$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 40c | 3,330$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.08 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,090$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 56c | 2,820$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.68 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,651$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked No | 50c | 2,597$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 12c | 2,490$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 49c | 2,469$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.35 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 12c | 2,402$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.22 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,380$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.71 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 11c | 2,364$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,343$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.3 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes | 46c | 2,089$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.94 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 2,085$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.31 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…af60backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 1,881$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.97 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 10c | 1,873$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Yes | 16c | 1,856$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b83…5452backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,800$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 11c | 1,773$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 10c | 1,539$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed No | 55c | 1,512$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.78 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 21c | 1,413$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 1,271$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.32 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…03adbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +583.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…3fd8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 12c | 999.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…c1e3backed Yes | 50c | 995.85$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.93 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 58c | 994.41$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.61 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 11c | 993.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 13c | 876.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 28c | 857.7$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 854.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 830$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.3 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 11c | 820.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 21c | 820.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Yes | 41c | 781.49$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.41 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…b8e6backed Yes | 11c | 774.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…f186backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 63c | 748.18$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.86 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…5d03backed Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 11c | 714$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7c…f44dbacked Yes | 16c | 701.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…6b63backed Yes | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 117 | 15.4%18 W · 99 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331e…c5acbacked Yes | 11c | 604.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes | 51c | 591.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 20c | 581$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 16c | 565.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 18c | 557.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…005dbacked Yes | 36c | 556.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes | 11c | 554.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked No | 52c | 553.22$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 11c | 541.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…f420backed Yes | 10c | 518.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 498.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 31c | 498.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.