TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,909 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes2c12,172$220 inLost-$22013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$102718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes1c4,780$43 inLost-$43.0237350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c4,661$66 inLost-$66.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes3c4,452$130 inLost-$130452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes1c3,532$41 inLost-$40.8547032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x053f…5cf6backed Yes2c3,121$50 inLost-$49.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Yes1c3,113$40 inLost-$40.482020%4 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes2c3,000$45 inLost-$451233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes1c2,308$30 inLost-$3010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes1c2,201$27 inLost-$2721029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e4…68bebacked Yes1c1,859$26 inLost-$26.023522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes1c1,800$18 inLost-$17.936423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes1c1,635$20 inLost-$2050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Yes1c1,535$20 inLost-$2047029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Yes1c1,371$17 inLost-$1717054.7%93 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bf…788cbacked Yes1c1,346$20 inLost-$19.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes1c1,338$17 inLost-$16.641,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1115…a3edbacked Yes1c1,308$17 inLost-$171216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-58.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes1c1,100$11 inLost-$11.433350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost-$1115911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe7…34c3backed Yes2c625$10 inLost-$104515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.