Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c883eb4676841dace1282165942a61fd0dd61735694e3b24e45ebc6e822d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 25,957$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 13,337$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.44 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 4c | 12,000$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.77 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 3c | 8,229$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.1 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 3c | 7,371$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 3c | 6,634$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,703$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 3c | 2,908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 2,408$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 3c | 2,013$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 3c | 1,477$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…f702backed Yes | 3c | 1,445$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,365$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,303$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,255$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 3c | 1,235$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,174$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…79cfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,064$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac5…852cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 3c | 910$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…6fabbacked Yes | 3c | 908.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 3c | 838.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 3c | 753.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 3c | 712.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 3c | 635.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 3c | 626.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…c64abacked Yes | 2c | 586$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 2c | 562.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 199 | 32.2%64 W · 135 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 13.8%21 W · 131 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 3c | 483.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…1600backed Yes | 3c | 443$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 3c | 428.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 3c | 420$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked Yes | 3c | 420$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes | 3c | 413.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 3c | 379.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…98f7backed Yes | 3c | 379.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 3c | 377$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 39.5%117 W · 179 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.