Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c47377d054e9d35aee424e90ed2a83d039251cbf6336e3bfb0d0dd22039db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 3c | 30,999$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.19 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 18,775$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 4c | 5,207$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 3,483$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 3c | 3,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…64fbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,001$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,705$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,170$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…e7babacked Yes | 3c | 1,930$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,906$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,899$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 3c | 1,504$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,484$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,309$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…d03cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,142$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 3c | 1,061$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…8b10backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 3c | 1,031$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…8621backed Yes | 3c | 1,030$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…f201backed Yes | 3c | 1,021$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5292…0680backed Yes | 3c | 1,005$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +346.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 3c | 967.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 929.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 3c | 865$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 845.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 3c | 771.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 749$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 3c | 704.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 3c | 621$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 3c | 572.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes | 3c | 517.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 3c | 510$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…c908backed Yes | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 4c | 440$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…a3edbacked Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked Yes | 3c | 420$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…cf0fbacked Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…d431backed Yes | 3c | 393.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…b8e5backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…4fa9backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 5c | 300.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…cec5backed Yes | 7c | 281.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc9…47f2backed Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 26.4%64 W · 178 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 8c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.