TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Chargers vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Chargers, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4741…6cf0backed Chargers54c40,784$22,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,764.721968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers50c21,529$10,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,802.832438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Falcons52c21,325$11,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,028.684634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Falcons48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9125137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Falcons47c9,479$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.5927339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Falcons43c5,092$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.3920634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Falcons50c4,933$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.352176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons46c4,243$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.6744246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Falcons47c4,084$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.1714022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Falcons47c3,662$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.744736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Chargers74c3,326$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.853976.9%30 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Falcons39c3,263$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.828650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Falcons26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78014445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Falcons49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.999645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Chargers53c2,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17021251.9%110 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Chargers52c2,500$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.9428556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Falcons49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Chargers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98014757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Chargers52c1,943$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.85565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Chargers60c1,888$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.47853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b0…4940backed Chargers54c1,853$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.871330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Chargers51c1,652$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.291850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Chargers42c1,637$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.51225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Falcons49c1,542$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Chargers52c1,527$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Chargers70c1,490$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.43871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Falcons47c1,470$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.124420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Chargers71c1,333$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.2625643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f8a…9aeabacked Falcons46c1,326$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Falcons3c1,265$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.894311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons45c1,235$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.7531848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Chargers52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.283351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Chargers43c1,048$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.795429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Falcons50c1,008$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Falcons6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5533328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Falcons49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9387…ce77backed Chargers51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Chargers53c938.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.985829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe822…84bdbacked Falcons48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa441…dedebacked Chargers51c788.38$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Chargers69c741.76$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.793764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Falcons43c679$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.983116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Falcons48c673.29$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.210738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Falcons48c666.11$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.077541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…136fbacked Falcons54c662.22$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Falcons7c648$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3421713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Chargers52c635.58$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.082466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbb…4352backed Falcons49c635.45$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.37650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Falcons49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Falcons49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Chargers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30029059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Chargers52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Falcons48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2886157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Falcons49c585.67$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.982572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40dc…563dbacked Chargers52c585.58$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.081040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Chargers51c534.43$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0717823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Falcons49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Chargers51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Chargers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24013348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Falcons37c500$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Falcons45c444$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.83574.3%26 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Falcons48c439.95$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Chargers52c417$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1619864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Falcons41c400$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Falcons48c384.71$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.666950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Chargers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6213655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68f…22f4backed Chargers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9504…01ebbacked Chargers52c384.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5726…9c06backed Falcons49c377.55$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce10…902bbacked Chargers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.364665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Chargers54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3713453.7%72 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb36…c107backed Falcons49c360.2$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Chargers50c355.37$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.454759.6%28 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Chargers53c354.37$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.613560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Falcons45c338.45$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.36752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Falcons40c320$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12829356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Falcons47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.416139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Chargers76c317.76$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.261442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7077…e94dbacked Chargers52c314.04$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.741330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cac…8414backed Falcons48c311$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.281127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Chargers74c286.63$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9162…bf46backed Chargers52c285.06$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Chargers43c283.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.656354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bb…b3f0backed Chargers53c267.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Chargers53c266$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0216259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Falcons49c246$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.423630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Falcons44c245.3$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9314349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fb…f97abacked Chargers52c240.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.551346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Falcons42c233.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6810345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…e81fbacked Falcons49c218.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Chargers52c216.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.852147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4400…65bbbacked Falcons49c216.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…795fbacked Falcons48c213.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc8…951abacked Chargers52c205.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddbf…b1b3backed Falcons47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ab…a767backed Falcons49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…d9a9backed Falcons49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f1…ae82backed Falcons49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-59.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Chargers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9810467.3%70 W · 34 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Chargers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9638459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.