Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3f9d9d45d04b21fb53b47be74b4590efffe1bc450fccdd5acc63579458e520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 7,999$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.48 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 7,999$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.48 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.93 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 52c | 4,422$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.55 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,901$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 1,480$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.25 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 1,457$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.26 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 49c | 680$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.89 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 53c | 548.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 444$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 52c | 440.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Over | 38c | 331$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 38c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 53c | 182.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Over | 31c | 154.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 16c | 144.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f470backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 54c | 93.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 54c | 92.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 65.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Under | 49c | 45.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 63c | 40.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 42c | 35.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…3258backed Over | 54c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 46c | 24.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.