Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc34749234b1adda9e44ffe04bf377a5e0dc904779397708d7aa3ad9d74fa88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 80c | 7,999$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.81 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 6,644$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.91 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 814.38$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 69c | 444$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 21c | 337.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 30c | 197.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 72c | 119.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Over | 31c | 70.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…65bfbacked Over | 30c | 66.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…c7e8backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Under | 80c | 37.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 70c | 25.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 70c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.