Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118395fc32212c8cd81970d39e2d19561ea4d99f44c2a88174a8c052ca9b5f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Sunderland AFC | 68c | 9,442$6,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 9,166$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 2,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 1,877$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 804.82$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.54 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 700$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 406.06$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Sunderland AFC | 73c | 347.95$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 199.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 198.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Sunderland AFC | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 113.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…d906backed Sunderland AFC | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed Sunderland AFC | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Sunderland AFC | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 36c | 55.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sunderland AFC | 64c | 43.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…18fabacked Sunderland AFC | 69c | 30.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Sunderland AFC | 70c | 30.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Sunderland AFC | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…2e82backed Sunderland AFC | 69c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…53dbbacked Sunderland AFC | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.