Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9bb7578267bdf5965d583ebda3af33359c224fa5d8785dd7abac4ad55a2f864

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,948 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1613…7b03backed Under	75c	2,894$2,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.93	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over	30c	682.05$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.62	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	71c	680.35$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.8	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5661…5921backed Over	17c	588.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	23c	440.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c09…e173backed Over	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	31c	412.95$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.75	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	67c	371.13$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.47	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b6…91cebacked Over	21c	322.5$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.22	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over	16c	322.39$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Over	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	156	21.8%34 W · 122 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked Over	31c	299.84$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.85	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	39c	252.84$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	151	43%65 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	73c	236.6$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.96	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75d…db18backed Over	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over	22c	230.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	215	25.1%54 W · 161 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Over	28c	221.42$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…dea8backed Over	14c	211.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe590…a5d4backed Over	23c	199.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Under	74c	188.93$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.93	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+6.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	24c	159.79$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.86	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ad…4fd1backed Over	13c	147$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	31c	140.82$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a30…a2f4backed Under	71c	135$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	24c	130.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.82	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa9…58eebacked Over	14c	128.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	74c	116.98$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Over	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Over	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Over	28c	99.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	228	25.4%58 W · 170 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Over	29c	99.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.94	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18e…5343backed Over	24c	84.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	28.4%29 W · 73 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	78c	83.75$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	77c	78.63$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5f…7750backed Over	26c	75.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	246	54.1%133 W · 113 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…eea7backed Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Over	24c	64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	75c	54.86$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over	27c	52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafc2…d32ebacked Under	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	75c	44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	67c	37.92$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.37	190	64.2%122 W · 68 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	64c	30.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.06	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Under	72c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Under	79c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.35	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0e…d3b2backed Under	77c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.75	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	75c	20.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+19.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under	77c	19.48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+6.9wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+49%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under	77c	18.71$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.26	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b3…d0eebacked Under	79c	18.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.89	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb93…94cfbacked Under	70c	17.1$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.13	66	68.2%45 W · 21 L	+11.0wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under	70c	17.1$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.13	57	63.2%36 W · 21 L	+7.6wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under	69c	15.34$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.72	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	74c	15.27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.97	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under	75c	14.69$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.73	187	61%114 W · 73 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
Spain vs. Austria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event