Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First Corner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8585331b94b336a126085f295a9211c490bdc64ee9fc5d45cf7bdf48a200b534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Spain, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Spain | 65c | 360.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Spain | 67c | 349.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…e743backed Austria | 34c | 319.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Spain | 65c | 239.58$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Austria | 29c | 177.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Austria | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ae…8b7bbacked Austria | 32c | 157.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Austria | 28c | 139.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Spain | 73c | 136.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Spain | 72c | 136.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Austria | 26c | 132.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…2ee1backed Austria | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Spain | 68c | 86.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Spain | 62c | 69.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Austria | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Austria | 27c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Spain | 71c | 42.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Spain | 71c | 39.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Spain | 67c | 39.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First Cornerthis page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.