Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb67291158627a6e5eece5021968564730e6934b44a27cb2e4f63559d17be828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 1,939$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.9 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Over | 30c | 1,350$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.49 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 79c | 869.52$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.42 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 22c | 672.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.14 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 601.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 70c | 491.28$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.38 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 18c | 452.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.92 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Over | 79c | 340$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 252.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Under | 29c | 207.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…28b4backed Over | 71c | 188.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 70c | 168.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…2a54backed Under | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 22c | 129.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…f924backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 89.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 72.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 70c | 67.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…feefbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 71c | 56.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 58c | 53.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 49.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 67c | 43.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under | 70c | 43.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…d552backed Over | 79c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 61c | 40.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 43c | 36.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Over | 71c | 29.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Over | 73c | 22.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 69c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 78c | 13.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.